Vic's Mortgage Report · January 2013

Vic’s Mortgage Report — January 2013

Vic's Mortgage Report printed newsletter, January 2013

Archived issue, originally mailed in January 2013. Rates, loan limits, program terms, company names, and licensing details reflect that date and are not current. For today's numbers, request a rate quote.

Hello Friends, First off, I would like to wish you all

Just to update you on my personal life, my daughter is now applying for college. Many of you have seen her picture growing up over the

(continued from front page) years via some of the holiday cards that I used to send out. The last time I sent one out, some of you were confused and thought I had married very, very young. While this may be common practice in some cultures, mine included, this was not the case with me and I am still very happily single. We are both SCUBA divers and we are both certified as rescue divers. I am hoping she and I will achieve dive master over the course of the next year, before she goes away to college.

I still work and live out of Oakland, California, but as many of you know, I continue to conduct business all over the state. Many of my closest family members, including my mother, sister, and 4-year-old niece, live in Southern California. Irvine is a second home to me since this is where my mother, uncle, and aunt live year round. University Hills is the community that they live in and I am a frequent visitor, so I hope to see many of you the next time I am in town.

Rates continue to be at the all-time low and I apologize for not being proactive in contacting many of you who can benefit from a refinance. I am swamped with refinance applications, as is the entire industry. If you are above 4% on a 30-year fixed or above 3.75% on a 15-year fixed, it may be time to consider refinancing. My belief is that rates will bottom out at 3% (3.125% APR) for a 30-year fixed and 2.5% (2.625% APR) for a 15-year fixed. We are currently at 3.25% (3.375% APR) for a 30-year fixed and 2.75% (2.875% APR) on a 15-year fixed. These rates assume a loan amount below

$417,000 for a single family residence with at least 20% equity in the property.

Despite the ending of “Operation Twist” in December of last year, the Federal Reserve is continuing to look for means to actively suppress interest rates going forward into 2013. They are buying $40 billion worth of mortgage bonds each month as part of QE3 (Quantitative Easing round 3) and there are new rumors of QE4 coming sometime this year, with additional bond buying to augment QE3. I am anticipating rates to be at or slightly below the current level through 2013 heading into 2014, or at least until the employment numbers and the housing markets improve significantly. With the Fiscal Cliff looming, we should see the Fed continue to actively suppress interest rates this year, while the Fed’s current stance is to continue suppressing rates through to 2015. The data is still not strong enough for the Fed to start increasing their target Fed Funds interest rate as well as put an end to these rounds of Quantitative Easing.

If you are thinking about refinancing or purchasing a new property, please don’t hesitate to check in with me for a free, no obligation consultation.

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